Section 518

Where we endeavor to stay positive about the 2011 Mets…

Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

I’ve Moved

Posted by JD on February 20, 2013

I’ve opened up a new blog for a fresh start. If you’re interested in what I’m writing now, please follow this link over to my new blog, Projectable Growth. And thank you for reading.


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One-Out Wins: More Than You Needed To Know

Posted by JD on May 7, 2011

Ryota Igarashi picked up his second win last night, both of which he received after retiring just one hitter (he almost had a third earlier in the season, but the stars didn’t line up that night). This served to remind me that nothing highlights the uselessness of pitcher wins as a statistic more than the one-out win. Think about it: the other pitchers on the staff combined to get 26 (or more) outs and one pitcher comes in, records one out, and gets all the credit (and I didn’t even mention the offense’s role, which is obviously more important as well). It’s a loophole, but boy does it highlight how silly the stat is.

That being said, let’s take a look at one-out wins using Baseball Reference’s Play Index tool. First, the obvious: the one-out win is much more common than it once was, most likely due to the heightened focus on pitch counts and increased specialization in the bullpen. There were 545 one-out wins from 2001 through last night, 431 in the ’90s, 233 in the ’80s, 144 in the ’70s, 142 in the ’60s, and 150 prior to that (the Play Index goes back as far as 1919, so that’s a little more than 40 years). Seeing as how there were more one-out wins in the past 20 years than in the previous 70, it should come as no surprise that most of the leaders in this fluky stat are all from that era. In an interesting coincidence, quite a few of them have ties to the Mets.

11-15 (tie, six one-out wins): Hector Carassco, Alan Embree, Al Hrabosky, Scott Schoenewies, Mike Stanton.

8-10 (tie, seven one-out wins): Buddy Groom, Joe Hoerner, Dan Plesac.

2-7 (tie, eight one-out wins): Paul Assenmacher, Dennis Cook, Pedro Feliciano, Goose Gossage, Felix Heredia, Scott Radinsky.

1 (nine one-out wins): Jessie Orosco.

Quite a few LOOGY-types up there, which makes sense when you think about it. They tend to come in two face a key lefty hitter late in close games, so it figures that they’d be the pitcher of Even Jesse Orosco’s one-out wins (largely) fit this pattern: eight of the nine came in the ’90s after he’d transitioned from closer to LOOGY. Even the one that he got with the Mets came in 1986, a year he split the closing duties with Roger McDowell. Goose Gossage and some of the others don’t fit this usage pattern, but I think it’s safe to say that luck played as much of a role in their one-out wins as it did for the LOOGY’s

One final point for the record: only one of Pedro Feliciano’s one-out wins came on a Ryan Howard strikeout. I would have bet money that the number would have been higher given that he’s faced Howard in 38 plate appearances, but I guess that’s why I shouldn’t gamble. I was in attendance at CBP that day, so that was sweet.

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A Note About Walks, and The 1962 Mets

Posted by JD on April 4, 2011

Mets batters walked nine times in yesterday’s win over the Marlins. For some reason that struck me as an unusually high number of walks, so I used Baseball Reference’s Play Index to do some research. Here’s what I found:

  • Nine walks is a lot, but not uncommon: over the years the Mets have had nine or more walks in 152 games (1.94% of total games played). This means it will happen about three times a season.
  • The 2010 Mets achieved the feat four times, including almost exactly one year ago against the Marlins (in a 7-6 loss on April 7th). That was the second game of the season and it took 10 innings to complete. Three Mets had two walks apiece, including everyone’s favorite centerfielder, Gary Matthews Jr. It was arguably his second most productive game of the season (his performance on Opening Day wasn’t too bad), but it was all downhill from there.
  • The 1970 Mets hold the franchise record for most games with nine or more walks with 12.
  • Surprisingly, the 1962 Mets had eight games of nine or more walks, highlighted by back-to-back games against the Dodgers on June 28 and 29 in which Dodger pitchers gave out 11 and 16 free passes, respectively (this being the 1962 Mets, they managed to lose the 11-walk game). Given that team’s reputation for being comically inept, I was more than a little surprised. Digging deeper I found that the Mets actually lead the league in walks by a healthy margin, accruing 35 more than the Milwaukee Braves (616 to 581). Of course they finished last in hits by an even healthier margin (their 1,318 was 52 less than the next closest team, the Houston Colt 45’s), which resulted in a lower-than-league-average OBP of .318. Lower than average, but not lowest: the Chicago Cubs (.317) and Houston (.310) had that “honor”.
  • The Cubs have only themselves to blame for having a lower OBP that season: they walked the Mets 15 times in a game on May 15, 1962. Had they limited the damage to eight walks or less the Mets would have finished percentage points behind them.

So, there’s your walk-related Mets trivia for the day. Use it in good health.

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Philly’s Phinest

Posted by JD on September 20, 2010

Matt Diaz, a bizarrely attired Phillie fan’s worst nightmare. Ish.

Stay classy, Philadelphia.

UPDATE: I got sloppy and failed to credit @JLB1031 for tweeting the video linked above, and @ZachKleinWSB for originally posting it. Sorry about that.

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Poll: Howard Megdal for GM

Posted by JD on August 16, 2010

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