Posted by JD on May 7, 2011
Ryota Igarashi picked up his second win last night, both of which he received after retiring just one hitter (he almost had a third earlier in the season, but the stars didn’t line up that night). This served to remind me that nothing highlights the uselessness of pitcher wins as a statistic more than the one-out win. Think about it: the other pitchers on the staff combined to get 26 (or more) outs and one pitcher comes in, records one out, and gets all the credit (and I didn’t even mention the offense’s role, which is obviously more important as well). It’s a loophole, but boy does it highlight how silly the stat is.
That being said, let’s take a look at one-out wins using Baseball Reference’s Play Index tool. First, the obvious: the one-out win is much more common than it once was, most likely due to the heightened focus on pitch counts and increased specialization in the bullpen. There were 545 one-out wins from 2001 through last night, 431 in the ’90s, 233 in the ’80s, 144 in the ’70s, 142 in the ’60s, and 150 prior to that (the Play Index goes back as far as 1919, so that’s a little more than 40 years). Seeing as how there were more one-out wins in the past 20 years than in the previous 70, it should come as no surprise that most of the leaders in this fluky stat are all from that era. In an interesting coincidence, quite a few of them have ties to the Mets.
11-15 (tie, six one-out wins): Hector Carassco, Alan Embree, Al Hrabosky, Scott Schoenewies, Mike Stanton.
8-10 (tie, seven one-out wins): Buddy Groom, Joe Hoerner, Dan Plesac.
2-7 (tie, eight one-out wins): Paul Assenmacher, Dennis Cook, Pedro Feliciano, Goose Gossage, Felix Heredia, Scott Radinsky.
1 (nine one-out wins): Jessie Orosco.
Quite a few LOOGY-types up there, which makes sense when you think about it. They tend to come in two face a key lefty hitter late in close games, so it figures that they’d be the pitcher of Even Jesse Orosco’s one-out wins (largely) fit this pattern: eight of the nine came in the ’90s after he’d transitioned from closer to LOOGY. Even the one that he got with the Mets came in 1986, a year he split the closing duties with Roger McDowell. Goose Gossage and some of the others don’t fit this usage pattern, but I think it’s safe to say that luck played as much of a role in their one-out wins as it did for the LOOGY’s
One final point for the record: only one of Pedro Feliciano’s one-out wins came on a Ryan Howard strikeout. I would have bet money that the number would have been higher given that he’s faced Howard in 38 plate appearances, but I guess that’s why I shouldn’t gamble. I was in attendance at CBP that day, so that was sweet.
Posted in Flushing Frivolities, Mets, Uncategorized | Tagged: Al Hrabosky, Alan Embree, Buddy Groom, Dan Plesac, Dennis Cook, Felix Heredia, Goose Gossage, Hector Carassco, Jessie Orosco, Joe Hoerner, Mets, Mike Stanton, One-Out Wins, Paul Assenmacher, Pedro Feliciano, Roger McDowell, Ryan Howard, Ryota Igarashi, Scott Radinsky, Scott Schoeneweis | Leave a Comment »
Posted by JD on April 4, 2010
I’m a baseball fan. I love the Mets, first and foremost, but I love watching Major League Baseball. Prior to getting my season tickets, I would camp out on Opening Day and watch as many games as I could. I watch as many games as I can during the season and listen to almost as many on my Sirius-XM radio, particularly Kansas City and Colorado games (not sure how that happened, but it did).
But Opening Day became more than a little devalued to me when MLB decided to move away from having Cincinnati open the season. That was a piece of tradition that I loved and the Sunday night openers don’t have the same impact to me as a result. This year pushed me over the edge: I can’t bring myself to watch the Yankees and Red Sox. They happen to be two of my least favorite teams and I just don’t want to watch. That being said, I can’t avoid the Twitter updates. I’ve been watching the ebb and flow of the game via Twitter and couldn’t help noticing that Terry Francona opted to use Scott Schoeneweis in the fifth and sixth innings.
I think I’ve made my thoughts on Schoeneweis clear here and here, but I’ll say it again: I’m rooting for the guy. It was encouraging to look at the box score and see that he struck out Curtis Granderson (after throwing a wild pitch to start the inning) to end the fifth and record two outs in the sixth. I want him to succeed and that was a crucial debut performance for the Sawx.
Now, I realize that he’s not the most popular ex-Met. As I mentioned in my previous post, our last memory of him was surrendering the game-winning home run in the final game at Shea Stadium. And, as @tippingpitches pointed out, he didn’t endear himself to fans in Milwaukee (again, I’m not even going to try to analyze those comments). That doesn’t change my stance: he was misused and under-appreciated in New York, and never really got a fair chance to shine. Call me stubborn, call me misinformed, but I’m going to root for the guy. His success tonight is the only thing I’m going to take away from the first official ballgame of 2010.
Tomorrow is another story. I can’t wait for the gun to go off. I’m excited about our Mets, and I look forward to following their ups and downs throughout the next six months (and over-analyzing them along the way). It will probably be a long season, but it can’t start soon enough for me.
Posted in Major League Baseball | Tagged: Opening Day, Red Sox, Scott Schoeneweis, Twitter, Yankees | Leave a Comment »